Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.872502 4.146416 4.438721 4.775340 5.154154 5.569479 6.062315
2025-07-13 3.419074 3.796664 4.224212 4.749882 5.386936 6.145055 7.133044
2025-07-20 3.192950 3.636346 4.159928 4.835504 5.702382 6.805002 8.363048
2025-07-27 3.038805 3.530476 4.130896 4.937112 6.023479 7.489917 9.726356
2025-08-03 2.878191 3.395394 4.043677 4.942212 6.202523 7.992033 10.913826
2025-08-10 2.711151 3.235772 3.906659 4.859918 6.240723 8.285158 11.825811
2025-08-17 2.552112 3.073950 3.751948 4.734757 6.196443 8.438222 12.525622
2025-08-24 2.433408 2.956719 3.647089 4.667528 6.225461 8.701908 13.468387
2025-08-31 2.366152 2.903101 3.623673 4.712595 6.426246 9.268443 15.117483
2025-09-07 2.294662 2.838920 3.580135 4.722129 6.568463 9.752024 16.735836
2025-09-14 2.180909 2.710772 3.438374 4.571770 6.432889 9.715990 17.203225
2025-09-21 2.093302 2.615019 3.337903 4.477569 6.381431 9.827195 18.045955
2025-09-28 2.013600 2.529388 3.251161 4.404369 6.368439 10.029035 19.235506
2025-10-05 1.953049 2.468583 3.198094 4.381513 6.442471 10.418758 21.089807
2025-10-12 1.923393 2.450173 3.206211 4.456797 6.698971 11.229759 24.553204
2025-10-19 1.899238 2.438190 3.222661 4.546048 6.990753 12.179301 29.098747
2025-10-26 1.856040 2.396223 3.190647 4.550524 7.119982 12.785124 32.905638
2025-11-02 1.797697 2.329537 3.117046 4.478252 7.089655 13.000297 35.328472
2025-11-09 1.734187 2.253017 3.024900 4.368163 6.972843 12.979546 36.728140
2025-11-16 1.685774 2.197534 2.963664 4.308943 6.955094 13.214173 39.597143
2025-11-23 1.661869 2.178015 2.958419 4.348648 7.147428 14.052028 46.623705
2025-11-30 1.632569 2.149184 2.936806 4.357044 7.273557 14.739131 53.899058
2025-12-07 1.575485 2.076230 2.841160 4.224487 7.078793 14.451249 54.183408